Donald Trump Pulls Ahead of Kamala Harris With Six Bookmakers

Donald Trump now has better odds of winning the 2024 presidential election than Vice President Kamala Harris, according to six leading bookmakers—with one telling Newsweek the Republican candidate had moved “marginally ahead” over the past 48 hours.
Trump was favored to win in November with Sky Bet, Paddy Power, William Hill, 888sport, Betfair and Unibet, though the two presidential candidates were tied with Bet365 and Ladbrokes.
On Monday, William Hill and 888sport offered odds of 4/5 (55.6 percent) on Trump winning in November versus 1/1 (50 percent) on Harris. Sky Bet and Unibet had odds of 5/6 (54.5 percent) on a Trump victory against 1/1 for Harris. And Paddy Power and Betfair offered odds of 5/6 on a Trump win, with a Harris win at 10/11 (52.4 percent).
Trump recently received a boost when a new Trafalgar Group poll, conducted between August 28 and 30, put him ahead of Harris in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada, with the candidates tying in Michigan and Georgia.
The most recent analysis of FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages, published on Sunday, gave Harris a 3.2-point lead, with 47.1 percent of the vote to Trump’s 43.8 percent. Despite the Democrat’s lead in popular vote polling, the Electoral College system means Trump could win the election despite receiving fewer votes than his opponent, as he did in 2016 against Hillary Clinton.
Speaking to Newsweek, William Hill spokesperson Lee Phelps said: “The race for the U.S. presidency between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is a riveting one, and despite polls suggesting Harris has a slender 3-point lead, it’s Trump who is now marginally ahead in the betting.”
Phelps continued: “The Republican nominee has been tied with his presidential race rival for several weeks but has moved ahead in the last 48 hours, shortening into 4/5 from 10/11.
“With Harris drifting out to even-money from 10/11, that means it’s Trump that looks marginally in the ascendancy ahead of next week’s live debate, but it’s still Harris and the Democrats that are firm favorites to win the popular vote.”
Newsweek contacted representatives of the Trump and Harris campaigns for comment via email.
In Florida, a former swing state that has turned reliably red over the past few years, Trump leads Harris by 48 percent to 43 percent, according to a recent Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll conducted for The Telegraph.
However, the former president sparked a backlash from some conservatives in Florida after posting on social media that he supported a proposed constitutional amendment that would legalize recreational marijuana for adults in the state.